Entry 32 of 32 · ATLAS-7 ERA · C231
October 13, 2026
THE BESSENT PUT · Will the Bessent Put Survive Tomorrow? Here Are the 4 Paths, With the Odds.
The call, as published
"Path B, core warm: core prints 0.3%. Probability: ~25%. The odds of a rate hike at the Oct 27-28 Fed meeting move from 15.5% toward 1 in 3. The 10-year tests 5.34%. Bitcoin tests the $81.3K range low."
Window, as published
Oct 14, 2026 print and that day's closes; hike-odds leg settles at the Oct 27-28 Fed meeting
Resolved as called
Core CPI printed +0.3%, the 10 year peaked at 5.335% intraday, Bitcoin tested the $81.3K range low, and hike odds rose shortly after the print.
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