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PCE

PCE on the DeltaSignal track record.

This page collects every DeltaSignal track record entry for PCE: 1 published call, September 29, 2026. Every entry was graded correct against the outcome it called, and each one links its entry on the track record page, the article, and the original post on X.

Entry 31 of 32 · ATLAS-7 ERA · C221

September 29, 2026

PCE · How to Read Wednesday’s PCE: The Scenario Map You Need Before 8:30 AM ET

PCE track record card, entry 31 of 32, September 29, 2026. The call, as published: Call 2, market vs consensus: the print lands closer to the Kalshi-implied medians (headline ~0.25% to 0.3% MoM, core ~0.2% to 0.25%) than to the consensus forecast (headline +0.4%, core +0.3%). Resolved as called: Core PCE printed +0.2% month over month and headline printed +0.3%, both at the Kalshi implied bands and 0.1 point below consensus.

The call, as published

"Call 2, market vs consensus: the print lands closer to the Kalshi-implied medians (headline ~0.25% to 0.3% MoM, core ~0.2% to 0.25%) than to the consensus forecast (headline +0.4%, core +0.3%)."

Window, as published

Wednesday, September 30, 2026 print; graded Friday, October 2, 2026

Resolved as called

Core PCE printed +0.2% month over month and headline printed +0.3%, both at the Kalshi implied bands and 0.1 point below consensus.

This entry on the track record·Read the article·Original post on X

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